Worthy-Chance
0x99f76f3cbc194b58b1e72c8cd55f17198384269d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
423 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?
167 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
26 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will any AI score ≥20% on ARC-AGI-2 by June 30?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?$4.50Oct 9, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?$10.00Oct 9, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?$3.45Oct 9, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$10.42Oct 9, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?$1.00May 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI score ≥20% on ARC-AGI-2 by June 30?$4.00May 21, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$5.00May 21, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$3.00May 21, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $4.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.