Definitive-Fun
0x99fef04d830e7aee94cdb4d224be71c123911783
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-281.93
Realised
$-1.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on March 18?
574 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 18?
444 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 16?
260 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 16?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 16?
213 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on March 17?
192 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 17?
161 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16?
135 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
126 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on March 18?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$39.95Mar 28, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Mar 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$220.91Mar 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$220.92Mar 28, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$149.16Mar 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$70.38Mar 28, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$64.77Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$78.86Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.14Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.90Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.60Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.60Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$36.00Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.60Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$9.60Mar 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$130.92Mar 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$151.81Mar 28, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$151.81Mar 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$141.27Mar 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$141.28Mar 28, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $121.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".