Glorious-Traditionalism
0x9a019a3b012f9dfd58353284c54e8d801099ca6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$511.48
Total PnL
$-310.02
Realised
$128.14
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
24950 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$511.48
$-44.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
850 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-81.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-84.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $257.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.