Vapid-Fava
0x9a047d90754a31a0149835bc09ab3b22c9451152
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$15.05
Total PnL
$-45.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 9?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$8.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 9?
6 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$4.41
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 9?
375 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.44
$-7.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 8?
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.15
$-4.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 8?
24 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.04
$-3.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 8?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.01
$-4.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 8?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 8?
22 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 8?$10.0037m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 8?$10.0039m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?$7.816h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 8?$5.231d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 8?$5.251d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?$5.091d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 9?$5.571d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?$5.281d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 8?$4.081d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 8?$0.851d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 8?$4.161d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 8?$4.171d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 8?$5.211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 9?$5.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 8?$5.241d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 9?$5.241d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 8?$2.281d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?$3.501d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 8?$3.661d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?$13.561d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 37m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".