Fuzzy-Floodplain
0x9a0dfb8acf3537b2d329055085b191419ba5a52c
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$112.80
Total PnL
$18.31
Realised
$6.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
37 shares @ 40.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$37.41
$22.41
- YES
Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.39
$14.39
- YES
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$24.39
$14.39
- YES
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
20 shares @ 76.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$19.55
$4.55
- YES
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$4.17
$3.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$2.90
$1.92
- YES
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
122 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.90
- YES
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
61 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?
25 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$3.04Jul 4, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$5.08Jul 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$10.18Jul 2, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?$5.12Jul 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$10.15Jun 30, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$16.31Jun 30, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$10.15Jun 30, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands to score first vs. Morocco?$10.18Jun 30, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 9, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 9, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Feb 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Feb 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$15.00Feb 9, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$5.00Feb 9, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$5.00Feb 9, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$12.90Feb 9, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.