Treasured-Bassoon
0x9a0f43cfad6769a23601869f9d5f658302d617e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$37.63
Total PnL
$2.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.82
$5.82
- YES
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$2.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Trump say "Crime" during the Black History Month reception?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Feb 28, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crime" during the Black History Month reception?$1.00Feb 18, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$0.00Feb 9, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$2.50Jan 28, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?$1.00Jan 27, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$3.85Jan 26, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$0.00Jan 26, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 25, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$1.00Jan 25, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?$0.00Jan 24, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?$2.27Jan 24, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?$1.00Jan 23, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?$1.00Jan 23, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$1.00Jan 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$1.00Jan 23, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".