0x9a135b905f1292ab207c8c9c18aea351aa221dd0
0x9a135b905f1292ab207c8c9c18aea351aa221dd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$50.86
Total PnL
$11.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will DOGE bring back Marko Elez in February?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$25.00
$20.00
- YES
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$6.05
$0.05
- YES
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$5.00
$2.35
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Knicks
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2024$4.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$2.70
$1.70
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 85.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$2.10
$0.31
- YES
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kip Tom for Agriculture Secretary?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump nominate Sid Miller for Agriculture Secretary?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$1.04
$0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.00Mar 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00Mar 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE bring back Marko Elez in February? $2.00Feb 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE bring back Marko Elez in February? $1.00Feb 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE bring back Marko Elez in February? $2.00Feb 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$2.40Feb 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$2.65Feb 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?$5.00Feb 11, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?$1.00Feb 11, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. 76ers$0.00Feb 7, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. 76ers$1.00Feb 4, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.05Feb 1, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.00Jan 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.00Jan 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$1.00Dec 11, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Fauci?$1.00Dec 10, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$1.00Nov 26, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiddy released from custody before December?$6.00Nov 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?$1.00Nov 22, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.