Caring-Fax
0x9a1868192d04ad26545587a09cafa660bbcb76fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.06
Total PnL
$-126.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2?
2419 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?
2269 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- NO
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?
1014 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.46
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 21?
774 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
501 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.76
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
462 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 76000?
407 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.89Jul 15, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$2.78Jul 10, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.42Jul 10, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.68May 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.99May 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.35May 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?$5.19Apr 28, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 24, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$5.00Apr 24, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?$5.00Apr 24, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.91Apr 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.04Apr 21, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.00Apr 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.00Apr 21, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.00Apr 21, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.00Apr 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.00Apr 21, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.