Careless-Spandex
0x9a2da9b739fbfc401ca12ceaebf619f614a1e7a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?
864 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 5?
13 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-8.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?$12.85Dec 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?$9.71Dec 10, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$9.70Dec 10, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?$12.14Dec 10, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$12.15Dec 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?$15.98Dec 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$10.00Dec 6, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?$25.97Dec 6, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 5?$8.98Dec 5, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?$20.00Dec 5, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?$28.65Dec 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$6.00Dec 4, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?$20.00Dec 4, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$10.30Dec 4, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$15.26Dec 4, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$8.00Dec 3, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$10.00Dec 3, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$11.00Dec 3, 12:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $11.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".