Fickle-Basketball
0x9a2f87b3ea9deec9fe7ac11e398c351ba058d0d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?
456 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-6.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 9?
306 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.91
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 13?
291 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on November 22?
285 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?
283 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 10?
282 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.57
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 20?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on November 26?
279 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on November 23?
279 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 14?
279 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWestern Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips$5.40Jan 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$2.09Jan 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack$36.71Jan 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWestern Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips$2.97Jan 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack$2.94Jan 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGonzaga Bulldogs vs. Washington State Cougars$2.96Jan 16, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on January 14?$2.63Jan 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 13?$1.76Jan 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 13?$1.99Jan 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 11, 7PM ET$1.19Jan 12, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?$1.86Jan 10, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 9?$2.45Jan 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 7?$1.99Jan 7, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$0.10Dec 30, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$50.29Dec 30, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.78Dec 5, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.78Dec 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 5?$4.43Dec 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 4?$1.34Dec 4, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 4?$5.20Dec 4, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.