Spry-Acid
0x9a405a25900e0459702c110257bad37eb8d8571d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$236.75
Total PnL
$-21.69
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
162 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$160.62
$1.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
51 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$51.05
$0.05
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.07
$0.07
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.25 on August 9?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- CAVALIERS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- GEN.G
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
8 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SEIDEL
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidel
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$51.00Aug 10, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.25 on August 9?$10.00Aug 10, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$6.98Aug 10, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$7.46Aug 10, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in July?$10.02Aug 10, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in July?$10.02Aug 10, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$24.10Aug 10, 01:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $30.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.