Hollow-Cribbage-Matrix
0x9a4d0b8f2773b7b8c95d2459c670a993b579f57e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-476.02
Realised
$-12.40
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HUGO DELLIEN
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jong
88 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- ALEXANDER BLOCKX
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
54 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JIRI LEHECKA
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?
43 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- LEARNER TIEN
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejo
39 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
38 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$6.35Jul 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$7.25Jul 20, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$6.14Jul 20, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$6.14Jul 20, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$6.11Jul 20, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$7.12Jul 20, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$6.18Jul 20, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.96Jul 20, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$30.90Jul 20, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$10.29Jul 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.43Jul 20, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.11Jul 20, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$13.14Jul 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.25Jul 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$13.20Jul 20, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.33Jul 20, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.01Jul 20, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$11.21Jul 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.21Jul 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.16Jul 20, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.