Ornery-Mud
0x9a4fc3d3871133b9afd9c23ef394c54481594b54
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.68
Realised
$9.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?
300 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
32 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
26 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?
25 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?
25 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?$5.60Mar 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?$4.25Mar 4, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?$10.75Feb 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$15.54Feb 9, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$13.92Feb 6, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$5.45Feb 2, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?$0.04Feb 2, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?$0.26Jan 31, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?$0.07Jan 31, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?$1.65Jan 31, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.02Jan 30, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 30, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Jan 30, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?$0.97Jan 29, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.03Jan 29, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?$2.63Jan 29, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$5.56Jan 29, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?$13.50Jan 28, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".