Lean-Incidence
0x9a5a5f41140f00489df1b6b209dc36a3c2c86505
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Christmas Eve service member calls?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Netflix say "Hollywood" during earnings call?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
43 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
37 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Autopen" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
12 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
11 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during the announcement on December 22?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" during Israel President events on December 29?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Medal" during NewsNation interview?$2.00Jan 24, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Medal" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stolen" or "Steal" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kiev" during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" or "Tariff" or "Border" 10+ times during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Hollywood" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 21, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions$2.56Jan 21, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$14.39Jan 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$10.80Dec 31, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$10.80Dec 31, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?$4.08Dec 30, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$2.98Dec 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$3.26Dec 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?$3.32Dec 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$3.27Dec 29, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".