Animated-Mosquito
0x9a5b542c6b280a835542b6bd50eb806049c6a8d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
20/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-314.09
Realised
$-144.26
Win rate
6%
180 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 17?
227 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 16?
141 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 30?
83 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 16?
82 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 29?
77 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 14?
75 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 15?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on March 28?
67 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 29?
66 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 15?
55 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on April 4?$0.04Apr 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 19?$0.00Mar 30, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 16?$0.00Mar 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 19?$0.00Mar 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on March 19?$0.00Mar 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on March 19?$0.00Mar 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on March 17?$0.00Mar 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 17?$0.00Mar 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 28?$0.00Mar 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 28?$0.00Mar 30, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on March 29?$0.00Mar 30, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 30, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 30, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 28?$0.00Mar 30, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 30, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 30, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 28?$0.00Mar 30, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on March 16?$0.00Mar 30, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 17?$0.00Mar 30, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 30, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 180 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
180 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 180 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.