Shameless-Yeast
0x9a5fdd63af2ea050c1438277a4facdc38a9bb5bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1501 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-68.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?
768 shares @ 78.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?
572 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
449 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
426 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-42.57
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?
422 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-98.55
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
362 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$41.99Jun 26, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. France: O/U 6.5$42.98Jun 26, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. France: O/U 6.5$57.41Jun 26, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 0 - 2 France?$30.79Jun 26, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?$30.78Jun 26, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$96.84Jun 25, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$97.87Jun 25, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$54.56Jun 24, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$5.13Jun 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$15.31Jun 24, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$12.65Jun 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$17.41Jun 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?$10.08Jun 23, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan to score first vs. Portugal?$6.52Jun 23, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?$15.41Jun 23, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?$15.38Jun 23, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$126.98Jun 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$55.53Jun 22, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$54.83Jun 22, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$4.09Jun 22, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.