Grounded-Freezing
0x9a6534bdac552e7b9c8cca5f3b6a2060ff0a8d8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$434.51
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-93.35
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$217.00
$-683.00
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
49147 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$172.01
$-297.63
- NO
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.50
$-14.50
- USA
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)
5000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- SRI LANKA
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealand
2000 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-460.00
- CANADA
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1)
1291 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- CANADA
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1)
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NEW ZEALAND
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 5)
1000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.