Leading-Communicant
0x9a75a0043fce7a863a87b0614c91f788b32c0aa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Palisades fire burns 30,000-35,000 acres by Friday?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
5200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will another movie gross most in 2024?
307 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
144 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$5.20Dec 3, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$14.00Oct 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?$3.00Mar 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$4.00Feb 2, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$3.00Jan 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?$2.00Jan 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?$4.00Jan 17, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalisades fire burns 30,000-35,000 acres by Friday?$8.00Jan 11, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$1.73Dec 28, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.96Dec 20, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.10Dec 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$1.40Dec 10, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another movie gross most in 2024?$2.74Dec 5, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 07:51 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.