Wallet digest

active

Activity score

46/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.7K

Realised

$-1.57

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 97

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
2004 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-599.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
578 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-280.65
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
403 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025
$0.00
$-70.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
397 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025
$0.00
$-45.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
392 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
270 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 3?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
198 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
198 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
198 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$285.10Jan 15, 08:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$285.10Jan 15, 08:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$72.31Jan 15, 08:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$70.16Jan 15, 08:29 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$38.60Jan 15, 06:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$38.60Jan 15, 06:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$39.38Jan 15, 06:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$20.00Jan 15, 04:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$20.00Jan 15, 04:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$20.00Jan 15, 04:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$20.00Jan 15, 04:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Jan 15, 04:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$20.00Jan 15, 04:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$20.00Jan 15, 04:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$165.89Dec 29, 12:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$91.24Dec 29, 12:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$9.80Dec 26, 02:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$9.80Dec 26, 02:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$9.80Dec 26, 02:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$9.80Dec 26, 02:51 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity27 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry95 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 11
Avg trade size: $59.89
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 26, 02:51 UTC
Last active: Jan 15, 08:58 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:30:31 UTC·src:Polymarket Data