Runny-Birth
0x9a769b2d78209f23f98bec65e8ce2d7a26b84c9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$91.09
Total PnL
$-15.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?
91 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$91.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1040 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 4?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
874 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 9?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?$91.01Jun 8, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$91.09Jun 8, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$91.01Jun 1, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$91.09Jun 1, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$91.00May 23, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$91.18May 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$91.01May 17, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 13?$91.09May 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 13?$91.00May 13, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 13?$1.60May 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$1.18May 13, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$94.09May 13, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$94.01May 7, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$94.09May 7, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$94.01May 4, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?$94.09May 4, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?$94.00Apr 26, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$93.09Apr 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$93.00Apr 23, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 18?$93.09Apr 23, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $76.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.