Competent-Hutch
0x9a8284b065dd20d9b8d398da4842e9b13c4fabea
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$499.45
Total PnL
$-31.00
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?
108 shares @ 64.3¢·now 65.5¢·exp Sep 23, 2026$70.89
$1.28
- YES
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 51.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$43.60
$2.80
- NO
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
74 shares @ 59.2¢·now 49.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$36.71
$-7.07
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
74 shares @ 37.0¢·now 44.8¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$33.23
$5.74
- YES
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?
80 shares @ 55.2¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$27.50
$-16.50
- NO
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
56 shares @ 39.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$25.10
$3.10
- YES
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$23.66
$1.66
- NO
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
42 shares @ 53.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$22.42
$0.42
- NO
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$21.44
$-0.56
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
39 shares @ 57.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$19.88
$-2.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGrok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?$2.05Aug 6, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$22.00Aug 6, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?$19.80Aug 6, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?$22.20Aug 6, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?$22.00Aug 6, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$22.00Aug 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?$23.60Aug 6, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?$0.34Aug 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?$21.66Aug 6, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?$22.00Aug 6, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?$22.00Aug 6, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$21.86Aug 6, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?$21.91Aug 6, 01:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.61Aug 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStripChain FDV above $400M one day after launch?$14.99Aug 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$7.16Aug 6, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$14.84Aug 6, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.35Aug 6, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?$0.25Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?$3.76Aug 6, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.