Horrible-Vane
0x9a8b5e3d11b5897a7f19e814ed2a32687d9b7713
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$22.32
Total PnL
$-26.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
14 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$14.22
$0.22
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$0.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 27, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$1.00Dec 10, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 370 and 379 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$1.00Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?$1.01Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$1.01Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.01Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$1.01Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.02Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.02Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.02Dec 10, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 6, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".