This-Aggradation
0x9a920a8dfedc5b7af9c1facfc90c1e438b82a9f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$591.78
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
592 shares @ 29.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$591.78
$416.78
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
3493 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2336 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1344 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
1220 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-125.17
- YES
Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
970 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tanzania win on 2026-01-04?
728 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
565 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
409 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?
385 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$20.50Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$25.00Apr 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$150.00Apr 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$100.00Apr 11, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$100.00Apr 10, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$31.78Apr 9, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10.00Apr 9, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$30.00Apr 9, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$102.87Apr 9, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$186.02Apr 9, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$100.00Apr 8, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$10.00Apr 8, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$10.00Apr 8, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Apr 8, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$60.88Apr 8, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$50.00Apr 8, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.00Apr 8, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $46.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.