Poor-Mankind
0x9a92738ad48fd47d4668bb9e3184b6c32e7520ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.16
Total PnL
$-15.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
65 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 3, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$0.03Jan 30, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.08Jan 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?$0.28Jan 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 26, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 26, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.02Jan 26, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jan 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 6?$1.00Jan 3, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.03Jan 3, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.01Nov 6, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.08Nov 6, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.04Nov 6, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.60Nov 5, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$0.02Nov 1, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.00Oct 29, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".