Some-Cup
0x9a9ed7c31e1adbffd38d02d46b3b101f67e9a204
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.79
Total PnL
$-7.37
Realised
$2.79
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 9?
3 shares @ 34.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$2.79
$1.82
- NO
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
19 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$1.04Jun 22, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$0.07Jun 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.32Jun 22, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.17Jun 20, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$1.90Jun 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.15May 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$5.31May 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.24May 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.02May 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$5.06May 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.00May 12, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$6.04May 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$5.09May 9, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.09May 9, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?$1.00Apr 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?$1.82Apr 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 10?$0.04Apr 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.