Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-110.96

Realised

$1.47

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

UP
Solana Up or Down - September 30, 12AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 1?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
73 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET
45 shares @ 88.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025
$0.00
$-40.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
37 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025
$0.00
$-7.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
32 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025
$0.00
$-22.46
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10AM ET
25 shares @ 81.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 1AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$5.57Oct 8, 18:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.00Oct 7, 06:13 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.00Oct 7, 06:11 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Oct 4, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.00Oct 4, 00:09 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$14.57Oct 3, 23:57 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$11.76Oct 3, 23:54 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.32Oct 3, 23:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Oct 3, 23:43 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$4.28Oct 3, 23:41 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Oct 3, 23:31 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$9.16Oct 3, 23:31 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$8.98Oct 3, 23:29 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Oct 3, 23:26 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Oct 3, 23:02 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET$1.67Oct 3, 22:56 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET$1.00Oct 3, 22:52 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET$1.00Oct 3, 22:50 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET$1.40Oct 3, 22:45 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 3, 6PM ET$1.00Oct 3, 22:43 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry19 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $5.08
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 1, 11:26 UTC
Last active: Oct 8, 18:49 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:00:06 UTC·src:Polymarket Data