Determined-Tusk
0x9abfe41c5e5f140c860d9577fe99d4734053e301
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$-278.58
Win rate
1%
180 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- VP.PRODIGY
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs STATE - Map 1 Winner
14000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-139.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-94.39
- T1
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
868 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
746 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
742 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - August 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
566 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
520 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-117.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
492 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-249.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.59Aug 11, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$123.95Aug 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$6.33Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$6.33Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.61Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.32Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.80Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.61Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$50.83Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$15.46Aug 11, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$51.64Aug 11, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$51.29Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.06Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.18Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.83Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.41Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.79Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$33.63Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.81Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$50.45Aug 11, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 180 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
180 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 180 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.