Musty-Gigantism
0x9ac1b1352d71085649d2e3fd16a078112811382c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$167.31
Total PnL
$68.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$76.00
$44.84
- YES
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
55 shares @ 45.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.00
$30.20
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
24 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.30
$10.21
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 18-24?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
71 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-16.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$25.49Jul 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$17.33Jul 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$44.77Jun 24, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$0.18Jun 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.71Jun 24, 09:50 UTC
- SPLITUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$45.00Jun 24, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14.27May 29, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 May 18-24?$5.00May 22, 07:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$708.00May 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$0.66May 22, 07:12 UTC
- SPLITWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$708.00May 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$694.54May 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 May 18-24?$7.00May 22, 07:11 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$210.00May 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$174.82May 22, 07:10 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$486.00May 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$524.43May 22, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?$13.01May 22, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$700.03May 22, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.12May 15, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $190.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.