Severe-Tourism
0x9ac5798884428ca5af39c4bec8b4b68781454e24
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$116.12
Total PnL
$-125.13
Realised
$-19.14
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of July 6 2026?
116 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$116.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 17?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
585 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
575 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 10?
548 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 18?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- CAPITALS
Sharks vs. Capitals
21 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of July 6 2026?$116.00Jul 10, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 in June?$115.23Jul 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 in June?$115.01Jun 27, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of June 22 2026?$115.14Jun 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of June 22 2026?$115.01Jun 26, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 31?$10.24Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$11.34Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.08Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$81.14Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$81.06May 31, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$81.03May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$80.57May 30, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.13May 30, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$80.91May 30, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$81.01May 30, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.07May 30, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 31?$10.22May 30, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$105.13May 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$104.92May 28, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears$5.99May 28, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
33/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $83.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.