Self-Assured-Shoot
0x9ac975516ba83daa77c0872031c94b3882ecbc9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.20
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
865 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- BELGIUM
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
76 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$11.26Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.14Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.14Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$6.34Jul 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.08Jul 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$3.19Jul 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.10Jul 14, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$4.93Jul 14, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.16Jul 14, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$9.51Jul 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.17Jul 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$9.69Jul 14, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.31Jul 14, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.16Jul 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.16Jul 14, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$6.76Jul 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.09Jul 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$9.77Jul 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$25.38Jul 14, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.