Tough-Export
0x9acd69a1a8c182c33ca1204a048737b8a21dc7f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$20.22
Total PnL
$8.28
Realised
$10.06
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
17 shares @ 11.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$17.43
$15.43
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $140 in July?
782 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will no one dissent the Fed decision?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
8 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 23, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 23, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.25Aug 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut in 2025?$0.50Aug 22, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$7.00Aug 22, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.30Aug 22, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September meeting?$1.84Aug 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$12.45Aug 7, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 6, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill no one dissent the Fed decision?$1.05Aug 6, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill two people dissent the Fed decision?$1.75Aug 6, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$7.20Aug 6, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 6, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 6, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 6, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 6, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 6, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$11.80Aug 6, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Aug 1, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".