Official-Deer-Variability
0x9ad651f8a2df85f125b5baed270069cecbd66a03
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$88.14
Total PnL
$-51.86
Realised
$16.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29?
57 shares @ 35.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$20.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?
53 shares @ 37.8¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$17.47
$-2.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 28?
33 shares @ 45.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$17.02
$2.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.65
$2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2027$2.32
$-2.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?
255 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-34.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$10.30May 28, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29?$20.65May 28, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$5.00May 27, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?$20.62May 27, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?$60.41May 27, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 28?$15.41May 27, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 27?$15.94May 27, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$46.36May 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?$1.05May 26, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?$20.67May 26, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 26?$0.00May 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 27?$5.20May 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?$32.06May 26, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 27?$15.61May 26, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?$20.60May 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$27.65May 26, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?$15.59May 26, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?$10.39May 26, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?$10.39May 26, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 26?$5.24May 26, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".