Low-Grief
0x9ad9d835908e2a038f8889b9a691cb28776727f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$120.86
Total PnL
$-407.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
184 shares @ 54.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.46
$-36.54
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
51 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.81
$4.81
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
242 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.10
$-20.90
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?
1756 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
340 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-141.00
- NO
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
166 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
143 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?
89 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by January 31?$43.00Jan 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 24, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$31.00Jan 23, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Jan 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iraq by January 31?$15.00Jan 23, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.00Jan 23, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Jan 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?$30.00Jan 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$29.00Jan 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?$26.00Jan 14, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$42.00Jan 14, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$41.00Jan 14, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?$6.00Jan 14, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00Jan 14, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $35.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.