Possible-Arrow
0x9adef404e38d673f4f18a3d74a654c6f49dcaa86
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.35
Total PnL
$-2.93
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.11
$-0.02
- NO
Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 20?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.06
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on June 11?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.02
$0.00
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-0.66
- YES
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$125 in 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will 'Dispatch' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$1.07Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 20?$5.22Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 20?$6.30Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$6.32Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$7.32Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$7.36Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$8.50Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$8.22Jun 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley$1.05Jun 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$9.30Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on June 11?$9.96Jun 10, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on June 11?$11.00Jun 10, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 40-44 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$11.51Jun 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 40-44 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$12.60Jun 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.07May 25, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 13-19?$1.05May 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMJoe Kent charged by April 30?$1.08May 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$1.15May 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 22-23°F on April 20?$5.20May 2, 07:39 UTC
- REWARD$0.59Apr 20, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.