Self-Reliant-Recruit
0x9ae1f462d536a325f3c57e8180088a6f623d6a3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.17
Total PnL
$0.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.31
$0.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 26?
4 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$4.25
$0.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.92
$0.02
- NO
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.35
$-0.00
- YES
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.34
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?$1.35Jul 1, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$3.90Jul 1, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 26?$4.18Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.18Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?$4.62Jun 24, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?$2.54Jun 22, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$4.93Jun 22, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$4.54Jun 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?$2.49Jun 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?$4.43Jun 16, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$1.12Jun 15, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?$3.69Jun 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$1.11Jun 10, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?$3.67Jun 10, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.3KJun 7, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.3KJun 7, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.3KJun 7, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.3KJun 7, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.05Jun 1, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $360.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.