Useless-Exhibit
0x9aeab131e6c4cb011d3f7882def1c2a52fcba5e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.13
Total PnL
$-140.56
Realised
$-1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$5.26
$0.25
- NO
Yoon arrested by Friday?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- YES
US government shutdown in 2025?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.79
$0.29
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
273 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?$5.01Sep 30, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.50Sep 30, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by Friday?$2.00Jan 10, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.10Jan 10, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?$0.23Jan 10, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMNo Ethereum all time high in 2024?$2.35Jan 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 5-9 times October 4-11?$0.25Oct 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 5-9 times October 4-11?$0.25Oct 8, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?$0.45Oct 8, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$0.62Oct 8, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?$1.18Oct 8, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $155 on October 4?$5.21Oct 8, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?$0.20Oct 4, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$0.00Oct 4, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?$0.05Oct 4, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $155 on October 4?$5.20Oct 4, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$0.60Oct 4, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?$1.15Oct 4, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$0.05Oct 4, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.05Oct 4, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $34.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.