Ill-Informed-Analogy
0x9af37f511013c07f9c4046ffbec0163cc1bd4314
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$32.25
Total PnL
$-44.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$25.00
$10.00
- SEAHAWKS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$7.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
256 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?$15.00Feb 6, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$5.00Feb 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$20.00Feb 6, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$14.29Feb 6, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$26.11Feb 6, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$18.80Feb 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$16.00Feb 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$10.00Feb 1, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Feb 1, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$20.00Feb 1, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$20.00Feb 1, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $13.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.