0x9af5b1b8c849fff267cdd99c62af05af5b89cfe1
0x9af5b1b8c849fff267cdd99c62af05af5b89cfe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$79.99
Total PnL
$11.97
Realised
$-4.44
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 16?
40 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$40.00
$28.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 12?
9 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$9.09
$7.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 10?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$5.40
$3.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 12?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$5.10
$2.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 12?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$5.10
$2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 15?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$5.10
$2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$5.10
$2.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 11?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$5.10
$2.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 12?
727 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 12?
375 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.