Gregarious-Swan
0x9afd816b1a0675a66bd7b7bb20f45097fb878843
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-9.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
4900 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-216.97
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
3179 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?
2512 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
1176 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1153 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-397.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
1144 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
488 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-56.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
468 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-168.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$3.10May 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$102.94May 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$25.72May 20, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$130.72May 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.04May 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.04May 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.04May 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.04May 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.05May 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.05May 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.05May 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$25.34May 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$25.56May 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$25.56May 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$3.12May 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$25.84May 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$26.18May 20, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$26.38May 20, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$26.35May 20, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$25.77May 20, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $39.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 17:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".