Reflecting-Turning
0x9afd8c805254e921724a16ec06b37443b5a293ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-442.02
Realised
$-201.29
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?
203 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-54.85
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?
186 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?
174 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 29?
148 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 29?
133 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.45 on April 25?
119 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-31.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26?
96 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 13?
92 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.01
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 3AM ET
79 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.25 on March 22?
73 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?$64.24Jul 20, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?$61.99Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?$1.59Jul 7, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?$3.91Jul 2, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$80.58May 31, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$0.21May 29, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$78.11May 29, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?$66.00May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?$64.35May 22, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22?$3.23May 21, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$72.73May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$71.13May 15, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$69.68May 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$0.28May 7, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$67.10May 7, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.45 on April 25?$2.56Apr 26, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?$64.29Apr 26, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?$61.33Apr 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 17?$2.19Apr 17, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 28, 7PM ET$68.38Apr 17, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $31.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.