Phony-Disruption
0x9b006afd90ec3100eedb0b42276fb5f58ecdf938
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$16.10
Total PnL
$-25.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Kraken IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,900 January 12-18?$1.00Jan 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?$1.00Dec 26, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 10?$1.00Dec 12, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$1.01Dec 12, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.03Dec 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?$1.00Dec 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?$1.00Dec 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 4?$1.00Dec 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 27-28°F on December 5?$1.01Dec 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 6?$1.01Dec 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 10?$1.00Dec 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 6?$1.00Dec 6, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 27-28°F on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 4, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.40 November 24-30?$1.00Dec 3, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".