Subtle-Negotiation
0x9b0273f02519161a80b7bfcec5acb4dc56085a70
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$39.28
Total PnL
$-5.21
Realised
$0.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
6 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.50
$0.03
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.56
$-5.44
- ILYA SNITARI
ITF Slobozia: Radu David Turcanu vs Ilya Snitari
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$5.00Jul 21, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.21Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-18?$1.25Jul 18, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMSwiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1.82Jul 18, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMGenerali Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Daniel Michalski$1.35Jul 18, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMGenerali Open, Qualification: Nico Hipfl vs Lorenzo Giustino$1.30Jul 18, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMLivesport Prague Open, Qualification: Susan Bandecchi vs Xinyu Gao$1.64Jul 18, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMLivesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova$1.32Jul 18, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs Naho Sato$1.61Jul 18, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs JiaYi Wang$1.16Jul 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open, Qualification: Susan Bandecchi vs Xinyu Gao$1.02Jul 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Linda Fruhvirtova$1.01Jul 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-18?$1.01Jul 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open, Qualification: Nico Hipfl vs Lorenzo Giustino$1.01Jul 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Daniel Michalski$1.01Jul 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1.02Jul 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Slobozia: Radu David Turcanu vs Ilya Snitari$1.02Jul 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs Naho Sato$1.02Jul 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs JiaYi Wang$1.01Jul 18, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$5.00Jul 17, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $67.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.