Wallet digest

active

Activity score

43/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-45.00

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 28?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00
NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$550.00Apr 1, 20:31 UTC
TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$470.23Mar 24, 13:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 28?$5.00Jan 28, 20:04 UTC
TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.00Jan 28, 19:56 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$20.00Jan 28, 19:39 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$500.00Jan 28, 19:37 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$300.00Jan 28, 19:33 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity21 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 6
Avg trade size: $219.21
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 28, 19:33 UTC
Last active: Apr 1, 20:31 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:51:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data