Nippy-Crop
0x9b08f48ce3a693521b29ce632d2d4b21712b1aca
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-205.30
Realised
$-5.56
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?
999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
74 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
50 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
38 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-21.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
24 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jul 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$2.13Jul 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.26Jul 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.26Jul 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.28Jul 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.11Jul 12, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.11Jul 12, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Jul 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$21.02Jul 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$10.43Jul 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.23Jul 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.27Jul 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$8.53Jul 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.21Jul 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$3.16Jul 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$20.42Jul 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$10.47Jul 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$6.30Jul 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.14Jul 12, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$18.93Jul 12, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.