Parallel-Loaf
0x9b0dd2313d05efaf8800ce94613327377502400a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2025?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 28?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$0.00Mar 26, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 4, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$5.00Nov 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$2.00Nov 29, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?$1.00Nov 29, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?$1.00Nov 29, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 29, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 28?$1.00Nov 29, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 28?$1.00Nov 29, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 28?$1.00Nov 29, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in Q3 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?$1.00Nov 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$15.00Nov 29, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.