Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.4K

Realised

$-63.20

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 22

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
2058 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-923.73
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
1231 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-395.25
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
935 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-29.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
572 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-99.48
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
570 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-99.48
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
528 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-49.91
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
511 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-39.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-29.95
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
332 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-21.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
282 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-98.71

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$938.08Feb 20, 21:10 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$939.23Feb 20, 21:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$410.00Feb 20, 21:06 UTC
TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$410.00Feb 20, 21:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$30.04Feb 20, 20:55 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$30.11Feb 20, 20:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$190.56Feb 20, 20:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$190.56Feb 20, 20:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$179.27Feb 20, 20:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$181.02Feb 20, 20:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$258.61Feb 20, 20:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$100.00Feb 20, 20:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$358.84Feb 20, 20:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$119.19Feb 20, 20:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$400.00Feb 20, 20:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$100.00Feb 20, 20:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$30.00Feb 20, 20:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$30.00Feb 20, 20:01 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$131.55Feb 20, 19:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$100.00Feb 20, 19:55 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry27 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk58 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $154.78
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 20, 15:47 UTC
Last active: Feb 20, 21:10 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:48:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data