Harmless-Hatchling
0x9b236246458a95e7466c5f0e6458deb4d7bfbf4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$36.55
Total PnL
$23.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?
26 shares @ 18.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$26.34
$21.44
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.20
$5.20
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.00Dec 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?$1.00Dec 21, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (August 25 - 31)$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Dec 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.00Oct 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.66Sep 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$10.00Sep 4, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$22.07Sep 4, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.52Sep 4, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$1.98Sep 4, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$2.00Sep 2, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.00Sep 2, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$1.00Sep 2, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?$0.00Aug 26, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.