Upbeat-Interpreter
0x9b2844adb9f97bfa9c6b36be17aa4d0847a75b76
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$81.64
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$3.06
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?
1002 shares @ 26.9¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$70.13
$-199.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?
1000 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$7.00
$-297.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 22?
600 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.40
$-30.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?
914 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.37
$-179.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on July 22?
842 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.42
$-5.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 22?
637 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.32
$-23.81
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
60000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
18325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-61.17
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
7417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-34.49
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?$11.98Jul 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$12.03Jul 21, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?$6.65Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$6.26Jul 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?$8.26Jul 21, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$8.47Jul 21, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?$11.63Jul 21, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?$40.67Jul 21, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$72.28Jul 21, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$90.04Jul 21, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$13.18Jul 21, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$21.50Jul 21, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$22.36Jul 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?$17.50Jul 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$59.97Jul 21, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$47.50Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$5.53Jul 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$1.58Jul 21, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?$66.64Jul 21, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 22?$2.31Jul 21, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.