Well-Worn-Wallaby
0x9b323ea7303c7c019162291af70837935967ebb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
42 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
27 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
UFC 318: Will Holloway win by submission?
19 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
UFC 318: Will Poirier win by decision?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 22?
15 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
9 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?$1.13Jul 7, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?$1.00Apr 11, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $3.11Mar 8, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMThailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?$1.37Mar 8, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$1.41Mar 8, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026?$2.13Mar 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $3.00Jan 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$2.00Jan 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?$3.00Jan 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$5.00Jan 4, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$2.00Jan 4, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 318: Will Holloway win by decision?$7.07Jul 20, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Will Holloway win by submission?$2.00Jul 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Will Poirier win by decision?$5.00Jul 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Will Holloway win by decision?$3.00Jul 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier$2.46Jul 20, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.