Able-Body
0x9b3584fb3d74bbf9629e66a945730eb7ad2e714a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$12.99
Total PnL
$-3.10
Realised
$-0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.97
$0.00
- YES
Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$511.16Mar 5, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$514.65Mar 5, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?$1.22Mar 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.25Mar 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$1.27Mar 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$2.14Mar 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.88Mar 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$2.90Mar 5, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$501.01Mar 5, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$10.00Mar 2, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$500.01Mar 2, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.60Dec 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Jun 28, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$2.00Jun 28, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.00Jun 28, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$1.00Jun 28, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEast African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?$2.04Jun 28, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLElon no longer world's richest before July?$1.11Jun 28, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$0.00Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.06Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $54.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.